Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 10, 2024 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
3 - 1
Gimnasia

Gomez (41', 41'), Aquino (90+6' pen., 90+6' pen.), Pizzini (90+8', 90+8')
Romero (48'), Romero (48'), Mendez (83'), Mendez (83'), Pizzini (90+10'), Pizzini (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cabral (53', 53')
Canto (51'), Canto (51'), Morales (75'), Morales (75'), Rodriguez (82'), Rodriguez (82'), Cabral (90'), Cabral (90')
Canto (90+4'), Canto (90+4')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Gimnasia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 5-0 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, February 4 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Gimnasia

All competitions
Last Game: Independiente 0-1 Gimnasia
Saturday, February 3 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 42.73%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 27.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawGimnasia
42.73% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)29.99% (0.314 0.31)27.27% (-0.111 -0.11)
Both teams to score 40.14% (-0.797 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.49% (-0.945 -0.95)66.51% (0.95099999999999 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.07% (-0.647 -0.65)84.93% (0.652 0.65)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (-0.59400000000001 -0.59)31.01% (0.599 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (-0.703 -0.7)67.31% (0.708 0.71)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.18% (-0.644 -0.64)41.82% (0.651 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.72% (-0.567 -0.57)78.28% (0.572 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 42.73%
    Gimnasia 27.27%
    Draw 29.98%
Velez SarsfieldDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 15.18% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 8.89% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 42.73%
1-1 @ 13.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.96% (0.45 0.45)
2-2 @ 3.38% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 29.98%
0-1 @ 11.3% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 27.27%

Head to Head
Sep 13, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 4
Gimnasia
2-1
Velez Sarsfield
Tarragona (52'), Abaldo (60')
Saravia (22'), Enrique (28'), Cabral (33'), Gallo (46'), Castro (90+2')
Romero (41')
Castro (18'), Gomez (25'), Aquino (33'), Guidara (70')
Jan 30, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 1
Velez Sarsfield
3-1
Gimnasia
Janson (26'), Bou (54', 57')
Enrique (67')
Aug 14, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Velez Sarsfield
1-1
Gimnasia
Osorio (72')
Caseres (32'), Garayalde (61'), Pratto (78'), Perrone (90+1'), Mulet (90+9')
Morales (75')
Cardozo (70')
Sep 14, 2021 1am
Second Phase
Gimnasia
0-0
Velez Sarsfield
Melluso (58')
Caseres (90+3')
May 8, 2021 7.30pm
First Phase
Gimnasia
0-5
Velez Sarsfield

Morales (20'), Melluso (43'), Perez Garcia (59'), Coronel (70')
Melluso (78')
Tarragona (12'), Centurion (42', 44'), Bouzat (84'), Almada (85')