Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 4, 2024 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
5 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Colidio (6', 45'), Borja (20', 31', 55')
Aliendro (45+2')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Gomez (27'), Florentin (53'), Bouzat (65')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 0-2 River Plate
Thursday, February 1 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Independiente
Wednesday, January 31 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 20.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawVelez Sarsfield
52.97% (-1.298 -1.3)26.52% (0.586 0.59)20.52% (0.715 0.72)
Both teams to score 42.63% (-0.534 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.82% (-1.225 -1.22)60.18% (1.228 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.63% (-0.94 -0.94)80.38% (0.94200000000001 0.94)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (-1.072 -1.07)22.92% (1.075 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.31% (-1.607 -1.61)56.69% (1.608 1.61)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.31% (0.076999999999998 0.08)44.7% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.31% (0.062000000000001 0.06)80.69% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 52.96%
    Velez Sarsfield 20.52%
    Draw 26.51%
River PlateDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 15.09% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 11.11% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-0 @ 5.46% (-0.279 -0.28)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.215 -0.22)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 52.96%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 10.24% (0.457 0.46)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 8.25% (0.39 0.39)
1-2 @ 4.89% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.32% (0.163 0.16)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 20.52%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 3
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
River Plate
Aquino (22'), Castro (60')
Gomez (82'), Romero (86'), Florentin (90+3'), Gordillo (90+6')

Perez (49')
May 30, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 18
Velez Sarsfield
2-2
River Plate
Pratto (52'), Ortega (86')
Godin (31'), Gianetti (48')
Rojas (26'), Beltran (82')
de la Cruz (43'), Solari (57'), Herrera (69')
> Preview
Jul 18, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 8
Velez Sarsfield
2-2
River Plate
Bou (20' pen.), Osorio (90+4')
Beltran (7'), De la Cruz (30')
> Preview
Jul 7, 2022 1.30am
Round of 16 2nd Leg
River Plate
0-0
Velez Sarsfield
Romero (53'), Mammana (90+3'), Alvarez (90+5')
Garayalde (33'), Hoyos (51')
> Preview
Jun 30, 2022 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
River Plate
Perrone (21'), Gomez (41'), Pratto (70'), Medina (71')
Diaz (18')
> Preview