Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.