Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 15.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.43%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.13%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.