Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Oct 19, 2023 1.00am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
  • Matias Gimenez Rojas 27' goal
  • Matias Gimenez Rojas 27' goal
  • Damian Perez 31' yellowcard
  • Damian Perez 32' yellowcard
  • Lucas Gonzalez 36' goal
  • Lucas Gonzalez 36' goal
  • Brian Martinez 60' goal
  • Brian Martinez 60' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolas Capraro 32'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Capraro 33'
  • yellowcard Carlos Arce 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Carlos Arce 45'+1'

Independiente vs Barracas Central - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 1.30am
Argentinos Jrs 0 - 0 Independiente
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Matias Gimenez Rojas

Barracas Central

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 9, 2023 10.00pm
Barracas Central 2 - 1 Colon
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Francisco Alvarez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 64.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 12.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.23%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result

Independiente 64.65% (-0.01)
Draw 22.57% (+0.01)
Barracas Central 12.77% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.49% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.51% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 57.49% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 21.71% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 78.28% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 9.34% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 90.66% (+0.01)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 82.68% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 17.31% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 52.33% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 47.67% (+0.01)

Barracas Central Goals

Over 0.5 46.54% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 53.45%
Over 1.5 13.06% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 86.93% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Independiente 64.64%
Draw 22.57%
Barracas Central 12.77%
Independiente
1-0 @ 16.22%
2-0 @ 14.23%
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.32% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.65% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 64.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.16%
0-0 @ 9.25% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.57%
Barracas Central
0-1 @ 5.8% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.18%
0-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 12.77%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 7
Mar 10, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia
  • Facundo Mater 5' goal
  • goal Baltasar Barcia 1'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 25
Oct 12, 2022 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Juan Cazares 41' goal
  • Ivan Marcone 75' goal
  • goal Juan Manuel Vazquez 45'+3'
  • goal Cristian Colman 52'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
Apr 2, 2022 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Pablo Mouche 24' yellowcard
  • Carlos Valenzuela 86' yellowcard
  • goal Tomas Pozzo 72'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Sosa 81'
  • yellowcard Domingo Blanco 85'