Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Oct 19, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
3 - 0
Barracas Central

Gimenez Rojas (27', 27'), Gonzalez (36', 36'), Martinez (60', 60')
Perez (31'), Perez (32')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Capraro (32'), Capraro (33'), Arce (45+1'), Arce (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Barracas Central, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-0 Independiente
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Barracas Central

All competitions
Last Game: Barracas Central 2-1 Colon
Monday, October 9 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 64.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 12.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.23%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawBarracas Central
64.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)22.57% (0.0040000000000013 0)12.77% (0.0029999999999983 0)
Both teams to score 38.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.51% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)57.49% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)78.28% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.68% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)17.31% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.33% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)47.67% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Barracas Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)53.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.06% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)86.93% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 64.64%
    Barracas Central 12.77%
    Draw 22.57%
IndependienteDrawBarracas Central
1-0 @ 16.22%
2-0 @ 14.23%
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.32% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 64.64%
1-1 @ 10.16%
0-0 @ 9.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.57%
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 3.18%
0-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 12.77%

How you voted: Independiente vs Barracas Central

Independiente
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Barracas Central
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Barracas Central
1-1
Independiente
Mater (5')
Barcia (1')
Oct 12, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 25
Independiente
2-2
Barracas Central
Cazares (41'), Marcone (75')
Manuel Vazquez (45+3'), Colman (52')
Apr 2, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 8
Barracas Central
0-1
Independiente