Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 69.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 10.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.48%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.