Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 15.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match.