Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 52.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.