Copa Libertadores
Aug 1, 2023 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Gabriel Avalos 14' goal
  • Lucas Villalba 16' yellowcard
  • Marco Di Cesare 49' yellowcard
  • Alexis Martin Arias 76' redcard
  • yellowcard Felipe Melo 16'
  • redcard Marcelo 58'
  • yellowcard Jhon Arias 85'
  • goal Samuel Xavier 87'

Argentinos Juniors vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions

Fluminense

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Argentinos Juniors 47.2% (+0.01)
Draw 25.32% (+0.01)
Fluminense 27.48% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.98% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.77% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 50.23% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 27.81% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 72.19% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 13.19% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.81% (+0.01)

Argentinos Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 78.71%
Under 0.5 21.3% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 45.77% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.23% (+0.01)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 67.31% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 32.69% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 30.76% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 69.24% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Argentinos Juniors 47.19%
Draw 25.31%
Fluminense 27.48%
Argentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 10.76%
2-1 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 8.33% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.8%
3-0 @ 4.29% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86%
4-0 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 47.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.96% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (+99.00)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.31%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 7.78% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 27.48%