Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 74.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 8.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.63%) and 3-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.