Fluminense
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 8, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Fluminense
2 - 0
Argentinos Jrs

Xavier (86'), Kennedy (90+7')
Nino (71'), Andre (75'), Kennedy (83'), Xavier (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Minissale (43'), Gondou (49'), Di Cesare (54'), Redondo (76'), Villalba (90+8'), Gabriel Montiel (90+9')
Milito (44'), Gabriel Montiel (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Fluminense and Argentinos Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, August 6 at 1am in Brasileiro

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-1 Fluminense
Tuesday, August 1 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fluminense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fluminense.

Result
FluminenseDrawArgentinos Juniors
41.24% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)27.9% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)30.85% (0.13 0.13)
Both teams to score 47.14% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.36% (0.126 0.13)58.63% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.81% (0.096 0.1)79.18% (-0.101 -0.1)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04%27.96% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41%63.59% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43% (0.163 0.16)34.57% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.71% (0.173 0.17)71.29% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 41.24%
    Argentinos Juniors 30.85%
    Draw 27.9%
FluminenseDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 12.31% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.85% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13%
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 41.24%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 9.67% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 10.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.45% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 30.85%

How you voted: Fluminense vs Argentinos Jrs

Fluminense
90.5%
Draw
0.0%
Argentinos Juniors
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Aug 1, 2023 11pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Argentinos Jrs
1-1
Fluminense
Avalos (14')
Villalba (16'), Di Cesare (49')
Martin Arias (76')
Xavier (87')
Melo (16'), Arias (85')
Marcelo (58')
> Preview