MX23RW : Friday, May 17 14:26:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
1 - 2
River Plate

Tarragona (4')
Ramirez (24'), Tarragona (86')
Madelon (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diaz (75'), Rondon (79')
Perez (19'), Diaz (72'), Colidio (90+5')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia

All competitions
Last Game: Barracas Central 1-2 Gimnasia
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

River Plate

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 3-0 Independiente
Thursday, October 26 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
GimnasiaDrawRiver Plate
27.26% (0.138 0.14) 25.16% (0.149 0.15) 47.58% (-0.288 -0.29)
Both teams to score 53.3% (-0.363 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.28% (-0.526 -0.53)49.72% (0.526 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.27% (-0.472 -0.47)71.73% (0.47199999999999 0.47)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.4% (-0.17 -0.17)32.6% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.86% (-0.19 -0.19)69.14% (0.191 0.19)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08% (-0.33800000000001 -0.34)20.92% (0.338 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.35% (-0.53 -0.53)53.65% (0.529 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 27.26%
    River Plate 47.57%
    Draw 25.15%
GimnasiaDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.127 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.7% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.28% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.5% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.6% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 27.26%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.145 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 10.66% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.88% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.35% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.7% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 47.57%

Head to Head
Apr 13, 2023 11.30pm
Gameweek 11
River Plate
3-0
Gimnasia
Beltran (26' pen.), Aliendro (65'), Suarez (90')
Jul 22, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 9
River Plate
1-0
Gimnasia
Zuculini (76')
Enrique (35'), Cecchini (50'), Muro (85')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 10.15pm
Gameweek 6
River Plate
4-0
Gimnasia
Fernandez (30' pen.), Alvarez (45+1' pen.), Quintero (72' pen.), Romero (90')
Gonzalez Pirez (40')

Leyes (53'), Morales (62'), Cardozo (64')
Aug 23, 2021 12.15am
Second Phase
Gimnasia
1-1
River Plate
Melluso (74'), Licht (89')
Romero (13'), Zuculini (48'), De La Cruz (59'), Casco (74')
Sep 28, 2019 9.45pm
Gameweek 8
Gimnasia
0-2
River Plate

Velazquez (33'), Ayala (48')
Carrascal (22'), Scocco (74')
Zuculini (33'), Sosa (39')
rhs 2.0
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