Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Oct 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
3 - 2
Argentinos Jrs

Morales (37'), Ramirez (45+3', 49')
Guiffrey (4'), Saravia (45'), Gallo (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gondou (35'), Avalos (84')
Torren (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Argentinos Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia

All competitions
Last Game: Instituto 1-1 Gimnasia
Sunday, October 8 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-0 Independiente
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 36.16%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.24%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
GimnasiaDrawArgentinos Juniors
33.91% (0.018999999999998 0.02)29.94% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)36.16% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 42.27% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.07% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)64.93% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.16% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)83.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25% (0.0020000000000095 0)35.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48%72.52% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.79% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)34.21% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.09% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.91% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 33.9%
    Argentinos Juniors 36.15%
    Draw 29.93%
GimnasiaDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 12.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.38%
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 33.9%
1-1 @ 13.49%
0-0 @ 12.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.93%
0-1 @ 13.11%
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 7.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 36.15%

How you voted: Gimnasia vs Argentinos Jrs

Gimnasia
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Argentinos Juniors
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 13
Argentinos Jrs
2-4
Gimnasia
Heredia (21'), Redondo (58')
Lescano (9', 23'), Mammini (71'), Torres (90+5')
Oct 17, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 26
Gimnasia
0-0
Argentinos Jrs
Mar 5, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 5
Gimnasia
2-2
Argentinos Jrs
Aleman (45', 60' pen.)
Carabajal (40'), Mac Allister (50')
Nov 28, 2021 10.15pm
Second Phase
Argentinos Jrs
3-0
Gimnasia
Avalos (12'), Carabajal (49'), Sandoval (80')
Romero (60'), Gomez (69'), Mac Allister (82')

Mancilla (59'), Aleman (68')
Aug 31, 2019 5.15pm
Gameweek 5
Argentinos Jrs
1-0
Gimnasia
Miljevic (11')
Quintana (35'), Sandoval (72'), Vera (90')

Aleman (13'), Garcia (40'), Spinelli (46'), Comba (85')
Caraballo (72')