Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Colon had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Colon win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.