Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 77.7%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 8.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 1-2 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.