MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 15:13:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Juan Domingo Peron

Instituto
3 - 1
Colon

Martinez (11', 71'), Barrientos (90+3')
Barrientos (80'), Martinez (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Abila (7')
Espinola (32'), Moreyra (82')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and Colon.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Talleres 0-0 Instituto
Sunday, September 17 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Colon 2-1 Rosario
Saturday, September 16 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 38.61%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Colon had a probability of 30.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 2-1 (7.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.5%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Instituto would win this match.

Result
InstitutoDrawColon
38.61% (0.409 0.41) 31.37% (0.174 0.17) 30.02% (-0.591 -0.59)
Both teams to score 38.09% (-0.56 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.46% (-0.581 -0.58)69.54% (0.574 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.06% (-0.377 -0.38)86.94% (0.37100000000001 0.37)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.87% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)35.12% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.13% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)71.87% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Colon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.71% (-0.813 -0.81)41.29% (0.807 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.19% (-0.726 -0.73)77.81% (0.71899999999999 0.72)
Score Analysis
    Instituto 38.6%
    Colon 30.02%
    Draw 31.36%
InstitutoDrawColon
1-0 @ 15.17% (0.3 0.3)
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.144 0.14)
2-1 @ 7.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.08% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 38.6%
0-0 @ 14.5% (0.31 0.31)
1-1 @ 13.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.11% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 31.36%
0-1 @ 12.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.94% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 30.02%

Head to Head
May 14, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 16
Instituto
1-0
Colon
Martinez (90+2')
Rodriguez (6')

Garces (20'), Vega (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!