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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 27
Jul 31, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas

Godoy Cruz
4 - 2
Instituto

Galdames (28'), Arce (31'), Parnisari (35' og.), Lopez (71')
Salvareschi (45+1'), Meli (90')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Parnisari (11'), Martinez (74')
Bochi (85'), Parnisari (86')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Godoy Cruz and Instituto.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Banfield 2-0 Godoy Cruz
Monday, July 24 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 2-1 Lanus
Wednesday, July 26 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.6%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.

Result
Godoy CruzDrawInstituto
59.52% (1.194 1.19) 24.2% (-0.598 -0.6) 16.28% (-0.599 -0.6)
Both teams to score 41.9% (0.424 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.6% (1.204 1.2)57.4% (-1.207 -1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.78% (0.947 0.95)78.21% (-0.95 -0.95)
Godoy Cruz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.86% (0.92399999999999 0.92)19.14% (-0.927 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.21% (1.507 1.51)50.78% (-1.51 -1.51)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.82% (-0.07 -0.07)48.18% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.64% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)83.36% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Godoy Cruz 59.51%
    Instituto 16.28%
    Draw 24.2%
Godoy CruzDrawInstituto
1-0 @ 15.24% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-0 @ 12.6% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 6.95% (0.281 0.28)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.195 0.2)
4-0 @ 2.87% (0.194 0.19)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.139 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.068 0.07)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 59.51%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 9.22% (-0.433 -0.43)
2-2 @ 3.36% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 24.2%
0-1 @ 6.73% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-2 @ 4.07% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.46% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-3 @ 0.99% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 16.28%

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