Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Instituto	Draw	Tigre
38.88% ( -0)	29.45% ( -0.01)	31.67% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 43.19% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.35% (

0.04)

63.65% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.06% (

0.03)

82.94% (

-0.03)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.19% (

0.02)

31.81% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.75% (

0.02)

68.25% (

-0.02)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.33% (

0.03)

36.67% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.54% (

0.03)

73.46% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Instituto 38.87%

Tigre 31.67%

Draw 29.44%

Instituto	Draw	Tigre
1-0 @ 13.35% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 38.87%	1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.44%	0-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 31.67%