Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 25

Jul 17, 2023 at 10pm UK

Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona

Arsenal
0 - 2
Instituto

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Instituto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Sarandi

All competitions

Last Game: Banfield 0-0 Arsenal
Monday, July 10 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Instituto

All competitions

Last Game: Instituto 0-1 Tigre
Sunday, July 9 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest Instituto win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Instituto would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Sarandi	Draw	Instituto
44.03% ( 0.27)	27.92% ( 0.11)	28.05% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 45.76% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.28% (

-0.54)

59.72% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.97% (

-0.41)

80.03% (

0.41)

Arsenal Sarandi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.02% (

-0.11)

26.98% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.68% (

-0.15)

62.32% (

0.14)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.67% (

-0.6)

37.33% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.89% (

-0.6)

74.11% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Sarandi 44.02%

Instituto 28.05%

Draw 27.92%

Arsenal Sarandi	Draw	Instituto
1-0 @ 13.19% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 44.02%	1-1 @ 13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.92%	0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.74% Total : 28.05%