Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 1

Aug 20, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona

Arsenal
0 - 1
Instituto

Sporle (57'), Pombo (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Martinez (21')
Roffo (24'), Alarcon (45+3'), Rodriguez (60'), Lodico (85')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Instituto.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Sarandi

All competitions

Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Colon
Sunday, July 30 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Instituto

All competitions

Last Game: Godoy Cruz 4-2 Instituto
Monday, July 31 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Instituto win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal Sarandi	Draw	Instituto
41.47% ( 0.04)	28.24% ( 0)	30.28% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 45.96% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40% (

-0.02)

60% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.76% (

-0.01)

80.24% (

0.01)

Arsenal Sarandi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.51% (

0.01)

28.49% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.74% (

0.02)

64.26% (

-0.02)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.27% (

-0.04)

35.72% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.5% (

-0.04)

72.49% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Sarandi 41.46%

Instituto 30.28%

Draw 28.23%

Arsenal Sarandi	Draw	Instituto
1-0 @ 12.77% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 41.46%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.23%	0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 30.28%