Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 11.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.67%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.