Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 49.99%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.