Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 45.53%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.