Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2023 at 12.45am UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre

Rosario
1 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Lovera (68' pen., 68' pen.)
Malcorra (54'), Malcorra (54'), Martinez (79'), Martinez (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Castro (29', 29')
Gomez (37'), Gomez (37'), Castro (56'), Castro (56'), Pizzini (66'), Pizzini (66'), Caseres (90+5'), Caseres (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosario Central

All competitions
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Huracan
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 3-1 Tucuman
Tuesday, October 10 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 45.53%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawVelez Sarsfield
45.53% (1.113 1.11)29.07% (-0.612 -0.61)25.4% (-0.503 -0.5)
Both teams to score 41.17% (1.096 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.37% (1.543 1.54)64.63% (-1.545 -1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.37% (1.07 1.07)83.63% (-1.073 -1.07)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.47% (1.364 1.36)28.53% (-1.367 -1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.69% (1.681 1.68)64.31% (-1.682 -1.68)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.6% (0.441 0.44)42.4% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.22% (0.376 0.38)78.78% (-0.378 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 45.53%
    Velez Sarsfield 25.39%
    Draw 29.05%
Rosario CentralDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 15.17% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-0 @ 9.51% (0.178 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.25 0.25)
3-0 @ 3.98% (0.22 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.41% (0.228 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.46% (0.114 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 45.53%
1-1 @ 13.01% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 12.09% (-0.71 -0.71)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.149 0.15)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.05%
0-1 @ 10.37% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 25.39%

How you voted: Rosario vs Velez Sarsfield

Rosario Central
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Velez Sarsfield
42.9%
7
Head to Head
May 16, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 16
Velez Sarsfield
0-0
Rosario
Jun 20, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 4
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Rosario
Orellano (6'), Fernandez (84')
Fernandez (49'), Perrone (75'), Ortega (76')

Gamba (64'), Torrent (90+6')
> Preview
Feb 15, 2022 10.15pm
Gameweek 2
Rosario
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Baez (56')
Infantino (80'), Tanlongo (87'), Martinez (90+7')

Bouzat (46'), Castro (82'), Guidara (90+5')
Jul 25, 2021 7.45pm
Second Phase
Rosario
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Vecchio (90+4')
Blanco (48'), Martinez (69'), Zabala (74'), Almada (79')

Ariel Fernandez (17'), Tarragona (37')
Ariel Fernandez (36')
Jan 17, 2021 1.10am
Plate Final
Rosario
1-3
Velez Sarsfield
Marinelli (26')
Bottinelli (43')
Bottinelli (78'), Martinez (88')
Centurion (9' pen.), Almada (82' pen.), Monzon (90+2')
Amor (37'), Martin Lucero (78')
Galdames (84')