Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8

Oct 10, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
3 - 1
Tucuman

Garcia (8', 8'), Castro (12', 12'), Florentin (18', 18')
Garcia (50'), Garcia (50'), Osorio (64'), Osorio (64'), Gomez (90+2'), Gomez (90+2')

FT(HT: 6-0)

Coronel (61', 61')
Acosta (16'), Acosta (16'), Coronel (90+5'), Giani (90+2'), Coronel (90+5'), Giani (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Atletico Tucuman, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions

Last Game: Tigre 0-0 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, September 30 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Atletico Tucuman

All competitions

Last Game: Tucuman 0-0 C. Cordoba
Tuesday, October 3 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 49.02%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.44%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Atletico Tucuman
49.02% ( 0.44)	29.31% ( 0.09)	21.67% ( -0.53)

Both teams to score 37.52% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.51% (

-0.59)

67.49% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.4% (

-0.4)

85.6% (

0.4)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.87% (

-0.07)

28.13% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.19% (

-0.08)

63.81% (

0.08)

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.2% (

-0.92)

47.8% (

0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.92% (

-0.69)

83.08% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 49.01%

Atletico Tucuman 21.67%

Draw 29.29%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Atletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 17.05% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 49.01%	0-0 @ 13.44% ( 0.29) 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.33% Total : 29.29%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.39% Total : 21.67%