Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
Velez Sarsfield
Oct 10, 2023 12.30am
3
1
HT : 6 0
FT Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Tucuman
  • Joaquin Garcia 8' goal
  • Joaquin Garcia 8' goal
  • Santiago Castro 12' goal
  • Santiago Castro 12' goal
  • Jose Florentin 18' goal
  • Jose Florentin 18' goal
  • Joaquin Garcia 50' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Garcia 50' yellowcard
  • Abiel Osorio 64' yellowcard
  • Abiel Osorio 64' yellowcard
  • Elias Gomez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Elias Gomez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guillermo Acosta 16'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Acosta 16'
  • goal Mateo Coronel 61'
  • goal Mateo Coronel 61'
  • yellowcard Justo Giani 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Justo Giani 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Mateo Coronel 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Mateo Coronel 90'+5'

Velez Sarsfield vs Atletico Tucuman - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 12.00am
Tigre 0 - 0 Velez Sarsfield
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Santiago Castro

Atletico Tucuman

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 1.00am
Tucuman 0 - 0 C. Cordoba
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Mateo Coronel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 49.02%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.44%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result

Velez Sarsfield 49.02% ▲ (+0.45)
Draw 29.31% ▲ (+0.09)
Atletico Tucuman 21.67% ▼ (-0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.52% ▼ (-0.70)

Goals

Over 2.5 32.51% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 2.5 67.49% ▲ (+0.59)
Over 3.5 14.4% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 3.5 85.6% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 4.5 5.32% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 4.5 94.68% ▲ (+0.20)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 71.87% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 28.13% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 36.19% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 63.81% ▲ (+0.09)

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5 52.2% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 0.5 47.8% ▲ (+0.93)
Over 1.5 16.92% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 1.5 83.08% ▲ (+0.69)

Score analysis

Velez Sarsfield 49.01%
Draw 29.29%
Atletico Tucuman 21.67%
Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 17.05% ▲ (+0.34)
2-0 @ 10.81% ▲ (+0.20)
2-1 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 49.01%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.44% ▲ (+0.29)
1-1 @ 12.58% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 29.29%
Atletico Tucuman
0-1 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 21.67%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Tucuman
Feb 21, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro
Velez Sarsfield
  • Marcelo Gonzalez 90'+4' goal
  • goal Jose Florentin 49'
  • goal Jose Florentin 49'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Velez Sarsfield
Jul 2, 2022 10.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
Tucuman
  • Santiago Caseres 26' yellowcard
  • Jose Florentin 38' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Insua 82' yellowcard
  • Miguel Brizuela 88' yellowcard
  • goal Manuel Capasso 18'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Sandoval 43'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Pereyra 67'
Copa Diego Maradona
Tucuman
Aug 3, 2021 1.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Velez Sarsfield
  • Santiago Vergini 18' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Acosta 26' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Carrera 28' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Martin Lucero 37'
  • redcard Ricardo Centurion 90'+4'
Copa Diego Maradona
Tucuman
Apr 13, 2021 1.15am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Velez Sarsfield
  • Oscar Benitez 13' goal
  • Leonardo Heredia 49' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Risso 63' yellowcard
  • Augusto Lotti 76' goal
  • Marcelo Ortiz 87' yellowcard
  • Cristian Erbes 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hernan De La Fuente 49'
  • yellowcard Federico Mancuello 90'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Velez Sarsfield
Sep 17, 2019 1.10am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani (Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires)
Tucuman
  • Lucas Janson 19' goal
  • Agustin Bouzat 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Federico Bravo 36'
  • yellowcard Leandro Diaz 81'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Acosta 85'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 23
Velez Sarsfield
Mar 16, 2019 4.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani (Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires)
Tucuman
  • Agustin Bouzat 43' goal
  • Agustin Bouzat 70' yellowcard
  • Luis Abram 89' yellowcard
  • Pablo Galdames 90' goal
  • yellowcard Mathias Abero 70'
  • yellowcard Gervasio Nunez 71'
  • yellowcard Jose San Roman 74'

Form Data

Tigre 0 - 0 Velez Sarsfield
Huracan 3 - 0 Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield 2 - 1 Arsenal
Gimnasia 2 - 1 Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield 2 - 0 River Plate
Independiente 2 - 1 Velez Sarsfield
Tucuman 0 - 0 C. Cordoba
Tucuman 1 - 0 Arsenal
River Plate 1 - 0 Tucuman
Tucuman 1 - 0 Barracas Central
Argentinos Jrs 2 - 2 Tucuman
Tucuman 0 - 0 Instituto