Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 41.5%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 29.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.