Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colon in this match.