Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10

Oct 25, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona

Arsenal
1 - 0
Colon

Cejas (24' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alvarez (49'), Toledo (59'), Botta (67'), Garces (72')
Goltz (67')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Colon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Sarandi

All competitions

Last Game: Talleres 1-1 Arsenal
Friday, October 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Colon

All competitions

Last Game: Colon 2-2 River Plate
Thursday, October 19 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Colon had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Colon win was 0-1 (12.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arsenal Sarandi in this match.

Result
Arsenal Sarandi	Draw	Colon
36.37% ( 0.24)	29.85% ( 0.3)	33.77% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 42.48% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.32% (

-0.98)

64.68% (

0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.33% (

-0.69)

83.66% (

0.69)

Arsenal Sarandi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.06% (

-0.36)

33.93% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.39% (

-0.39)

70.61% (

0.39)

Colon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.29% (

-0.9)

35.71% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.52% (

-0.94)

72.48% (

0.94)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Sarandi 36.37%

Colon 33.76%

Draw 29.84%

Arsenal Sarandi	Draw	Colon
1-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.39% Total : 36.37%	1-1 @ 13.48% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.84%	0-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.05% Total : 33.76%