Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3

Feb 3, 2024 at 10pm UK

Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
0 - 1
Gimnasia

Gonzalez (4'), Gimenez Rojas (6'), Costa (41'), Laso (71'), Aguilar (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Saravia (27')
Pintado (42'), Milo (44'), Castro (45+4'), de Blasis (64'), Troyansky (90+3')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Gimnasia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Independiente
Wednesday, January 31 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Gimnasia

All competitions

Last Game: Gimnasia 2-3 Independiente Rivadavia
Tuesday, January 30 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 48.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.32%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Gimnasia
48.45% ( 2.23)	29.35% ( 0.5)	22.2% ( -2.73)

Both teams to score 37.93% (

-3.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.74% (

-3.04)

67.26% (

3.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.56% (

-2.1)

85.44% (

2.1)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.7% (

-0.34)

28.3% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.97% (

-0.43)

64.03% (

0.43)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.9% (

-4.5)

47.09% (

4.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.44% (

-3.61)

82.56% (

3.61)

Score Analysis

Independiente 48.44%

Gimnasia 22.19%

Draw 29.33%

Independiente	Draw	Gimnasia
1-0 @ 16.82% ( 1.65) 2-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.94) 2-1 @ 8% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.45% Total : 48.44%	0-0 @ 13.32% ( 1.41) 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.51) Other @ 0.34% Total : 29.33%	0-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.76) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.56) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.38) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.29) Other @ 1.47% Total : 22.19%