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Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Oct 30, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
0 - 0
Arsenal


Ruiz (86')
FT

Breitenbruch (29'), Chimino (90+3')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Arsenal Sarandi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 3-0 Independiente
Thursday, October 26 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 Colon
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 17.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.37%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
IndependienteDrawArsenal Sarandi
56.17% (1.649 1.65) 26.23% (0.07 0.07) 17.59% (-1.72 -1.72)
Both teams to score 39.25% (-2.665 -2.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.72% (-2.065 -2.07)62.28% (2.061 2.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.06% (-1.539 -1.54)81.94% (1.537 1.54)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.56% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)22.44% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.02% (-0.258 -0.26)55.97% (0.255 0.25)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.61% (-3.317 -3.32)49.39% (3.314 3.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.77% (-2.455 -2.46)84.23% (2.453 2.45)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 56.17%
    Arsenal Sarandi 17.59%
    Draw 26.23%
IndependienteDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 16.56% (1.15 1.15)
2-0 @ 12.37% (0.8 0.8)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-0 @ 6.16% (0.369 0.37)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.127 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.206 -0.21)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 56.17%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 11.08% (0.82 0.82)
2-2 @ 3.08% (-0.396 -0.4)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 7.82% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-2 @ 4.12% (-0.506 -0.51)
0-2 @ 2.76% (-0.323 -0.32)
1-3 @ 0.97% (-0.226 -0.23)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 17.59%

Head to Head
May 19, 2023 1am
Gameweek 17
Arsenal
2-1
Independiente
Laso (8' og.), Pons (63')
Souto (2'), Pons (13'), Toloza (13'), Sporle (31'), Pombo (52')
Gimenez Rojas (77')
Zielinski (40+40'), Laso (67'), Costa (78'), Sarrafiore (88')
Oct 2, 2022 12.30am
Feb 15, 2022 10.15pm
Gameweek 2
Independiente
1-0
Arsenal
Pozzo (75')
Vigo (34'), Manuel Insaurralde (65'), Romero (82')

Suarez (51'), Goni (88')
Nov 6, 2021 9pm
Second Phase
Independiente
3-0
Arsenal
Sonora (17'), Romero (37'), Velasco (56')
Velasco (57')

Mendez (43')
Jan 3, 2021 8.10pm
Fase Campeon
Independiente
3-4
Arsenal
Romero (33'), Menendez (68'), Velasco (83')
Romero (74'), Velasco (75'), Franco (78')
Pusineri (74'), Franco (79')
Albertengo (15'), Candia (59'), Luna (73', 90+4')
Papa (82'), Candia (84'), Pons (90+1')
Candia (85')
rhs 2.0
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