Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 47.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.