Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 47.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 22.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.78%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.