Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 34.95%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.9%) and 2-1 (6.73%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (13.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood.