Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.58%) and 1-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (12.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.