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Brayan Muniz
1'
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Brayan Muniz
1'
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Alfredo Arias
8'
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Alfredo Carlos Arias Sanchez
9'
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Luis Manuel Orejuela
10'
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Luis Manuel Orejuela
10'
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Miguel Monsalve
22'
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Miguel Monsalve
22'
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Diego Moreno
72'
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Diego Moreno
72'
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Miguel Monsalve
77'
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Miguel Monsalve
77'
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Julian Lopez
7'
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Julian Lopez
8'
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Luciano Herrera
62'
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Luciano Herrera
62'
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Esteban Burgos
72'
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Esteban Burgos
72'
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Nicolas Palavecino
76'
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Nicolas Palavecino
76'
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Rodrigo Bogarin
90'+2'
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Rodrigo Bogarin
90'+2'
Independiente Medellin vs Defensa y Justicia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 42.49%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 28.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Independiente Medellin Goals
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 42.48%
0-0 @ 11.57% ▲ (+0.22)
2-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.1%
1-2 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 28.41%