Copa Sudamericana
Apr 11, 2024 3.00am
4
2
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Jhon Vasquez 12' goal
  • Jhon Vasquez 12' goal
  • Jhon Vasquez 23' goal
  • Jhon Vasquez 23' goal
  • Brayan Leon Muniz 48' goal
  • Brayan Muniz 48' goal
  • Mender Garcia 79' goal
  • Mender Garcia 79' goal
  • yellowcard Jose Guerrero 24'
  • yellowcard Jose Guerrero 25'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Salas 25'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Sandro Salas Suarez 26'
  • goal Yorleys Mena 63'
  • goal Yorleys Mena 63'
  • goal Jairo Velez 76'
  • goal Jairo Velez 76'

Independiente Medellin vs Cesar Vallejo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Medellin

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 5, 2024 3.00am
Always Ready 2 - 0 Medellin

Cesar Vallejo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 3, 2024 3.00am
Cesar Vallejo 0 - 1 Defensa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 50.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Cesar Vallejo win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.

Result

Independiente Medellin 50.57% (+0.11)
Draw 24.88% (+0.01)
Cesar Vallejo 24.54% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.73% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.38% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 50.61% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 27.47% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 72.52% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 12.96% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 87.03% (+0.08)

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5 79.98% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 20.01% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 47.78% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 52.21% (+0.02)

Cesar Vallejo Goals

Over 0.5 64.68% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 35.32% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 27.92% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 72.07% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Independiente Medellin 50.57%
Draw 24.88%
Cesar Vallejo 24.54%
Independiente Medellin
1-0 @ 11.37% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.52% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.15% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.11%
3-0 @ 4.9% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.97% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 50.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 7.07% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 24.88%
Cesar Vallejo
0-1 @ 7.36% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.83% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 24.54%