Copa Sudamericana | First Round

Mar 8, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Mansiche

Cesar Vallejo
2 - 0
Huancayo

Velez (71', 71'), Mena (78', 78')
Loyola (16'), Loyola (16'), Ballon (42'), Ballon (42')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Angeles (34'), Angeles (34')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Cesar Vallejo and Sport Huancayo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cesar Vallejo

Last Game: LDU Quito 3-0 Cesar Vallejo
Friday, June 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Sport Huancayo

Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Huancayo
Wednesday, February 15 at 12am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesar Vallejo win with a probability of 63.25%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sport Huancayo had a probability of 15.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesar Vallejo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Sport Huancayo win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesar Vallejo would win this match.

Result
Cesar Vallejo	Draw	Sport Huancayo
63.25% ( 0.17)	21.03% ( -0.08)	15.71% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 49.75% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.83% (

0.18)

46.17% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.54% (

0.17)

68.46% (

-0.17)

Cesar Vallejo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.05% (

0.11)

13.95% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.57% (

0.22)

41.43% (

-0.22)

Sport Huancayo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.82% (

-0.01)

42.18% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.41% (

-0.01)

78.59% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Cesar Vallejo 63.25%

Sport Huancayo 15.71%

Draw 21.03%

Cesar Vallejo	Draw	Sport Huancayo
1-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 63.25%	1-1 @ 10% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.03%	0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 15.71%