Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 48.22%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (8.92%).