Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 72.25%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 10.03%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.37%) and 3-0 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.