Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 9, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos Jrs
0 - 3
Racing


Romero (19'), Galvan (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Veron (41', 48'), Urreta (53')
Varela (26'), Veron (77')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Argentinos Juniors and Racing de Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Friday, April 5 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Miramar Misiones
Saturday, April 6 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 72.25%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 10.03%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.37%) and 3-0 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawRacing de Montevideo
72.25% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)17.72% (0.012 0.01)10.03% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 43.8% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.9% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)45.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.55% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.92% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)11.08% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.54% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)35.46% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.26% (0.052 0.05)50.74% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.83% (0.035 0.04)85.17% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 72.25%
    Racing de Montevideo 10.03%
    Draw 17.72%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawRacing de Montevideo
2-0 @ 13.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 12.37%
3-0 @ 9.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 5.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.72%
5-0 @ 2.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.64%
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 72.25%
1-1 @ 8.39% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 17.72%
0-1 @ 3.82% (0.004 0)
1-2 @ 2.85% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 10.03%