Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.