Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 7, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Cerro Largo logo

Racing
2 - 0
Cerro Largo

Sosa (24'), Veron (79')
Gorocito (65'), Hernandez (86'), Varela (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Coronel (63')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Racing de Montevideo and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 1-2 Defensor
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Last Game: Miramar Misiones 1-2 Cerro Largo
Friday, March 1 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.

Result
Racing de MontevideoDrawCerro Largo
38.72% (0.018000000000001 0.02)28.2% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)33.08% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.92% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.79% (0.096999999999994 0.1)59.21% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.37% (0.074999999999999 0.07)79.63% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32% (0.057999999999993 0.06)29.68% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27% (0.07 0.07)65.73% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72% (0.057999999999993 0.06)33.28% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1% (0.061 0.06)69.9% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Racing de Montevideo 38.71%
    Cerro Largo 33.07%
    Draw 28.2%
Racing de MontevideoDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 11.99% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 38.71%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 9.88% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 10.86% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.98% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 33.07%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 12
Racing
1-0
Cerro Largo
Rivero (67')
Varela (34'), De Los Santos (52'), Lemos (79')

Nunez (13'), Galletto (73'), Mir (78'), Gianoli (81'), Brasil (86')
Brasil (89')
Jul 15, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 6
Cerro Largo
2-0
Racing
De Los Santos (73' og.), Facundo da Costa Rodriguez (81')
Gianoli (35'), Gianoli (36'), Furtado (52'), Vila (68'), Vila (69')

Pereira (8'), Cabral (29')
Pereira (56')
Apr 21, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 12
Cerro Largo
2-1
Racing
Brasil (11'), Silveira (25')
Gorocito (38')
Nov 16, 2019 7pm
Cerro Largo
2-1
Racing
Dos Santos (2', 39')
Heredia (73'), Assis (80'), Teliz Carrasco (87')
Sosa (52')
Nicolini (5'), Melian (93')
Jul 13, 2019 7pm
Cerro Largo
3-0
Racing
Heredia (31'), Assis (61'), Dos Santos (83')