Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 41.7%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 28.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.