Fenix
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Nov 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Parque Capurro

Fenix
1 - 1
Nacional

Ferreira (90+8' pen.)
Bertochi (38'), Pereira (44'), Alles (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ramirez (45+10' pen.)
Martinez (38'), Martinez (73'), Galeano (81')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Fenix and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenix

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Fenix
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 1-3 Danubio
Thursday, November 16 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 54.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 18.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.86%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Fenix win it was 1-0 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
FenixDrawNacional
18.76% (0.291 0.29)26.41% (0.194 0.19)54.83% (-0.484 -0.48)
Both teams to score 40.55% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.42% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)61.58% (0.296 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.57% (-0.219 -0.22)81.42% (0.22 0.22)
Fenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.46% (0.178 0.18)47.53% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.11% (0.13 0.13)82.89% (-0.128 -0.13)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29% (-0.33 -0.33)22.71% (0.333 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.62% (-0.493 -0.49)56.38% (0.496 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Fenix 18.76%
    Nacional 54.83%
    Draw 26.4%
FenixDrawNacional
1-0 @ 8.03% (0.128 0.13)
2-1 @ 4.43% (0.049 0.05)
2-0 @ 2.99% (0.062 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.1% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 18.76%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 10.79% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 3.28% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 16% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 11.86% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.86% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.17% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 54.83%

Head to Head
Jul 15, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 6
Nacional
0-1
Fenix

Lozano (45+1'), Helguera Merello Volante (51'), Sebastian Chagas Diaz (59'), Damiani (90+3')
Nunez (78')
Da Silveira (2'), Bertochi (24'), O'Neil (79'), Fratta (86')
Apr 15, 2023 12am
Gameweek 11
Nacional
4-0
Fenix
Noguera (16'), Ramirez (18', 36' pen.)
Oct 1, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 11
Fenix
1-1
Nacional
Fernandez (58')
Coelho (90+6')
May 9, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 11
Nacional
1-0
Fenix
Monzeglio (35' pen.)
Rodriguez (56'), Lozano (84'), Ramirez (87')

Schetino (45+2')
Oct 10, 2021 6.45pm
Gameweek 5
Fenix
1-2
Nacional
Soria Marichal (44' og.)
Alfaro (62'), Nunez (88')
Cantera (13'), Mendez (76')
Cantera (55'), Fernandez (88')