Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.