Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 2-1 (7.28%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (12.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.