Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 42.71%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 26.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.48%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.