Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 46.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.