Boston River logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jul 2, 2023 at 2pm UK
Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas

Boston River
1 - 0
Danubio

Gomez (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Boston River and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boston River

All competitions
Last Game: Torque 3-1 Boston River
Sunday, June 25 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Emelec 2-1 Danubio
Thursday, June 29 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boston River in this match.

Result
Boston RiverDrawDanubio
36.84% (2.882 2.88)28.13% (-0.299 -0.3)35.02% (-2.579 -2.58)
Both teams to score 47.37% (0.972 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.23% (1.153 1.15)58.77% (-1.149 -1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.71% (0.89 0.89)79.29% (-0.886 -0.89)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.41% (2.451 2.45)30.59% (-2.449 -2.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17% (2.809 2.81)66.83% (-2.805 -2.8)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25% (-1.046 -1.05)31.75% (1.05 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82% (-1.217 -1.22)68.18% (1.219 1.22)
Score Analysis
    Boston River 36.84%
    Danubio 35.02%
    Draw 28.12%
Boston RiverDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 11.5% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.471 0.47)
2-0 @ 6.81% (0.593 0.59)
3-1 @ 3.09% (0.375 0.38)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.394 0.39)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.169 0.17)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.84%
1-1 @ 13.19% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.71% (-0.426 -0.43)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.12%
0-1 @ 11.14% (-0.84 -0.84)
1-2 @ 7.57% (-0.262 -0.26)
0-2 @ 6.39% (-0.681 -0.68)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 35.02%

Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Boston River
3-3
Danubio
Gomez (15'), Silva Torrejon (35'), Olivera (90')
Gonzalez (12'), May (61', 90+2')
Sep 19, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 9
Boston River
0-1
Danubio
Gonzalez (84')
Jun 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
Boston River
2-0
Danubio
Rodriguez (65'), Rodriguez (66')
Fernandez (28'), Mancebo (84')

Vicente (18'), Gonzalez (90+2')
Apr 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
Danubio
0-0
Boston River
May (25'), Rodriguez (41'), Ferreira (55'), Hernandez (58'), Olivera (63'), Vicente (90+1')
Ferreira (90+3'), Sosa (90+6')
Adrian Valdez (26'), Perez (72'), Rodriguez (90+2'), Silva (90+3')
Mar 19, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 13
Boston River
1-5
Danubio
Miguel Larrosa MArtinez (28')
Fernandez (67'), Lozano (75'), Olaizola Paraduja (78'), Alberti (81')
Siri (23', 64', 71'), Luis Rodriguez (44'), Rodriguez (90')
Sosa (9'), Ichazo (9'), Luis Rodriguez (60'), Mendez (74'), Romana (87')