Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.