Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Jun 18, 2023 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Abel Hernandez 21' goal
  • goal Santiago Brunelli 42'
  • goal Faustino Barone 62'
  • goal Faustino Barone 68'

Penarol vs River Plate - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jun 3, 2023 12.00am
La Luz 3 - 2 Penarol
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Matias Arezo

River Plate

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jun 4, 2023 7.00pm
River Plate 0 - 1 Boston River
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Jonathan Dos Santos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 23.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result

Penarol 48.76% (-0.68)
Draw 27.55% (+0.06)
River Plate 23.69% (+0.62)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.47% (+0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.03% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 60.96% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 19.03% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 80.97% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 7.79% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 92.21% (-0.12)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 74.81% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 25.19% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 40.08% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 59.92% (+0.28)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 58.11% (+0.77)
Under 0.5 41.89% (-0.77)
Over 1.5 21.66% (+0.66)
Under 1.5 78.34% (-0.66)

Score analysis

Penarol 48.75%
Draw 27.54%
River Plate 23.69%
Penarol
1-0 @ 14.54% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 10.03% (-0.22)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.61% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.75% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 48.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.65% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 10.55% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 3.8% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.54%
River Plate
0-1 @ 9.18% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 5.51% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 3.99% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 1.6% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.16% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.1% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 23.69%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Mar 18, 2023 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Sebastian Rodriguez 48' goal
Copa Sudamericana
Mar 8, 2023 12.00am
0
4
HT : 0 4
FT
  • goal Matias Arezo 8'
  • goal Matias Arezo 16'
  • goal Pedro Milans Carambula 21'
  • goal Pedro Milans 21'
  • goal Matias Arezo 75'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
Oct 16, 2022 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Ruben Bentancourt 64' goal
  • goal Ramiro Cristobal 13'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
May 29, 2022 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
  • Maxi Pereira 15' yellowcard
  • Marcos Montiel 17' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Diaz 59' yellowcard
  • Santiago Brunelli 64' yellowcard
  • Matias Alfonso 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Damian Musto 29'
  • yellowcard Federico Carrizo 64'
  • yellowcard Hernan Menosse 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Nov 14, 2021 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tiago Galletto 16' goal
  • Robert Herrera 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo Ceppelini 67'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Aug 1, 2021 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Agustin Alvarez 18' goal
  • Carlos Rodriguez 29' yellowcard
  • Facundo Torres 32' goal
  • Damian Musto 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guzman Rodriguez 47'
  • yellowcard Thiago Borbas 58'
  • yellowcard Marcos Montiel 61'