Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jul 8, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
Penarol

Danubio
1 - 0
Penarol

May (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 1-0 Danubio
Sunday, July 2 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Torque
Monday, July 3 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 35.45%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.16%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Danubio win was 1-0 (12.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
DanubioDrawPenarol
34.63% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)29.92% (0.0019999999999989 0)35.45% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 42.35% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.15% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.85% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.21% (0.0010000000000012 0)83.78% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)35.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)71.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)34.64% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.64% (-0.004999999999999 -0)71.36% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Danubio 34.62%
    Penarol 35.45%
    Draw 29.91%
DanubioDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 12.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 34.62%
1-1 @ 13.49%
0-0 @ 12.19%
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.91%
0-1 @ 12.92%
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 35.45%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Penarol
2-0
Danubio
Hernandez (37', 73')
Aug 28, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 5
Penarol
1-1
Danubio
Lozano (68')
Ramos (27'), Rak (41'), Cristoforo (59'), Menosse (61'), Milesi (85'), Viatri (90+4')
Menosse (90+2')
May (32')
Silva (19'), Rea (28'), Bortagaray (38'), Vicente (67')
Vicente (70')
Mar 5, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Danubio
0-1
Penarol

Navarro (45+2'), Fossati (45+3'), Vicente (55'), Hernandez (72'), Sosa (72'), Fernandez (77'), Evans (88')
Bentancourt (90+5' pen.)
Olivera (45+1'), Ramos (53'), Musto (70'), Gargano (85'), Elizalde (90+7')
Jan 31, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 3
Danubio
0-1
Penarol

Monzon (59'), Carrera (69'), Siles (72'), Mendez (77'), Luis Rodriguez (80')
Britos (64')
Dec 19, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 6
Danubio
1-4
Penarol
Comachi (64')
Mendez (40'), Comachi (59'), Victorino (65'), Monzon (67'), Ichazo (69'), Siles (90+2')
Carrera (46'), Mendez (79')
Britos (11'), Terans (39', 44'), Piquerez (89')
Terans (46')